FA Cup Previa 2
Global 2-3
Shildon AFC vs Norton United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
SHI
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
STO
0 - 2
SHI
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SHI
0 - 0
STO
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SHI
1 - 0
STA
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 2
SHI
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Norton United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
SHI
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
LOU
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RUN
2 - 5
NOR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 3
NOR
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |