Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
15º
15º
23
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
SJF
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SHI
35%
23%
42%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
QIN
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 3
WFC
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 1
WFC
25%
25%
51%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |