Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
14º
10º
36
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
HAN
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 1
SHI
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 0
SHI
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 3
HEN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 0
SHA
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIT
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 1
BEI
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 1
TIT
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
TIT
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |