Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
12º
37
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHI
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
SHA
11%
23%
66%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
SJF
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
SHA
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
7%
17%
76%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 4
SHA
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |