Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
15º
13º
32
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 72 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 26 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
BEI
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
6 - 1
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HEN
6 - 0
SHI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
MEI
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
QIN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CBC
3 - 0
MEI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHE
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TIT
2 - 2
CBC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |