Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
12º
27
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 59 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
87% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 38 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 3
SHI
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 2
SHI
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
CBC
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
BEI
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
SHA
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
TIT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 2
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
WFC
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |