Cup Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Sheriff vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
SHF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 0
SHF
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SHF
3 - 0
FCD
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SHF
2 - 0
ZAR
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHF
4 - 1
ZIM
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 0
FCD
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 0
SHF
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 1
PET
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHF
4 - 1
ZIM
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |