Sheriff vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
3º
1º
25
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 4
SHF
13%
23%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
SHF
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHF
2 - 1
MIL
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SHF
5 - 0
UNG
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 4
SHF
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZIM
4 - 3
CSM
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 1
PET
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ZIM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
ZIM
7 - 0
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 1
ZIM
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |