Sheriff vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
2º
1º
7
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 30 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 15 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 9 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 9 |
8º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 2
SHF
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 0
PET
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 0
SPA
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
SHF
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
6 - 0
FLO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 2
ZAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |