Sheriff vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
1º
1º
11
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHF
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHF
0 - 0
ZIM
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SHF
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SHF
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHF
2 - 0
PET
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 2
PET
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHF
2 - 1
MIL
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |