Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HEN
0 - 0
SHE
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
LIA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
QIN
2 - 0
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 3
BEI
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 1
LIA
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 3
BEI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
QIN
2 - 0
SHA
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 5
SHA
18%
25%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |