Shenzhen FC vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHE
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 0
SHE
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 2
QIN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
LIA
1 - 1
SHE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WUH
0 - 3
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 0
HAR
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
JIA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
BIT
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
KAN
0 - 1
GUA
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |