Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
16º
16º
51
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHE
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
CHA
12%
20%
69%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 5
HAN
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MEI
5 - 1
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 0
DAL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BEI
0 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |