China League Two PlayOffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 2-2
Shenzhen Renren FC vs Shaanxi Chang'an analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Renren FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HBS
0 - 0
SHR
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SHR
2 - 2
SDO
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
SHR
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SHR
2 - 1
JIA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SJF
4 - 1
SHR
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shaanxi Chang'an
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
HEB
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 0
SCA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 1
QIN
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YIN
1 - 2
SCA
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 0
DBO
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |