Shenzhen Pengcheng vs Nanjing Shaye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Pengcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
SHP
0 - 4
GFC
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
YFC
1 - 0
SHP
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SHP
1 - 1
SDO
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WCH
0 - 0
SHP
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
HBF
0 - 0
SHP
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nanjing Shaye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
NAS
1 - 3
JIA
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 1
NAS
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
NAS
1 - 0
SJF
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 1
NAS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NAS
0 - 2
KUN
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |