Shenzhen Pengcheng vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Pengcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SJF
0 - 3
SHP
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AHG
0 - 3
SHP
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SHS
0 - 1
SHP
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SHP
3 - 0
ZHH
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FTF
1 - 1
SHP
54%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
JIA
2 - 0
SHS
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ZHH
2 - 0
JIA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FTF
1 - 1
JIA
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
JIA
2 - 2
HBF
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SIC
6 - 1
JIA
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |