Shenzhen Pengcheng vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Pengcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
JIA
0 - 2
SHP
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
SHP
1 - 5
BEI
10%
16%
74%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SHP
0 - 2
HAR
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SJF
0 - 1
SHP
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
XFC
1 - 2
SHP
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HBF
1 - 1
LCH
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
JIA
3 - 0
HBF
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HBF
1 - 2
HWU
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
HBF
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HBF
0 - 0
CBC
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |