China League Two PlayOffs Ascenso 1/16
Global 3-6
Shenzhen Pengcheng vs Dalian Boyoung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Pengcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SHP
1 - 0
SHS
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ZHH
0 - 0
SHP
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SHP
1 - 1
FTF
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
HBF
1 - 1
SHP
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SHP
1 - 3
SIC
21%
25%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dalian Boyoung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DBO
0 - 4
QIN
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAO
2 - 5
DBO
9%
16%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
YIN
2 - 1
DBO
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JIB
2 - 1
DBO
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 0
DBO
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |