Shenzhen Junior vs Shandong Taishan B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+486%
+1215%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
5º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 18 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 16 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 14 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 14 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 10 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 1
SHE
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
NHC
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
SHE
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
HFC
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GGZ
2 - 0
SHA
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 1
SHA
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
59%
20%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HBF
3 - 1
SHA
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |