Shenzhen Junior vs Shaanxi Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+486%
+422%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
4º
44
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
43 | 19 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 16 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 15 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 14 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 14 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 10 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
28% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 3
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 2
HSF
38%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHE
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shaanxi Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
SHU
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SHU
3 - 0
RZY
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 2
LAN
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 4
SHU
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 1
SHA
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |