Shenzhen Junior vs Haimen Codion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+708%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
1º
36
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
43 | 17 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 16 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 15 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 15 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 13 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 12 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 11 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 11 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
SHE
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
HFC
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
3 - 2
SHU
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 3
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 1
HBF
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 3
GGZ
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
NHC
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |