Liaoning Tieren vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
15º
5º
52
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liaoning Tieren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 1
SHE
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 2
SHE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
3 - 0
ANH
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 1
SHE
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
YAN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
JIA
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
GFC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
DAL
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SDO
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |