Shenyang Shenbei vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenyang Shenbei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SHE
0 - 1
CHO
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
YAN
0 - 0
SHE
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 2
SHE
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
QIN
5 - 1
SHE
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
BEI
4 - 0
HAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
26%
29%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 0
LIA
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TIT
0 - 1
BEI
32%
29%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |