Europa League 1/32
Global 2-4
Shelbourne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
4 - 1
DUB
71%
20%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
WAT
3 - 1
SHE
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
DER
1 - 0
SHE
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
DEP
3 - 0
SHE
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
1 - 1
DER
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 0
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 2
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
LIL
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |