Shelbourne vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
1º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
59.5% | 34.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
39.5% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SHE
67%
19%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 1
SHE
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 1
SHE
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JOS
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
MAG
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 0
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 1
DER
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
DRO
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |