Shelbourne vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
STP
1 - 0
SHE
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
SLR
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 2
DRO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
SHE
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BOH
0 - 0
SHE
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 0
DER
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
CAO
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
BOH
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
STP
4 - 1
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
SHE
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |