Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Shelbourne vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 0
BEL
40%
22%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
SHE
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1963 |
SHE
0 - 2
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
SCP
5 - 1
SHE
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 2
LEX
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 0
BEL
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |