Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Shelbourne vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
SHE
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1963 |
SHE
0 - 2
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
SCP
5 - 1
SHE
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
SHE
0 - 2
SCP
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BEL
2 - 0
VST
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |