FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-1
Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
SHW
22%
24%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 1
SHW
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
SHW
0 - 0
BBU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
SHW
1 - 4
CHL
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
SHW
22%
24%
55%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
WAT
1 - 1
PLY
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
BOU
0 - 1
WAT
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1997 |
WAT
2 - 1
GUL
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |