Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
BBU
0 - 1
SHW
54%
21%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 2
SHW
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
SHW
1 - 0
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 0
SHW
44%
24%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 1
DER
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
DER
2 - 2
LEI
65%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 4
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
DER
2 - 2
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |