FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-0
Sheffield Wednesday vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
SHE
0 - 0
SHW
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 0
SHW
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
SHW
0 - 3
BUR
65%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 0
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
NTT
0 - 3
SHW
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRE
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 0
SHW
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
CUM
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 1
COV
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CUM
3 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |