Sheffield Wednesday vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
ARS
2 - 3
SHW
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
3 - 3
SHW
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
1 - 1
OPA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
4 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 4
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 4
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
WHU
5 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |