FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Sheffield United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
SHE
1 - 0
MID
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
IPS
1 - 1
SHE
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
SHE
2 - 0
BOU
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
OXF
3 - 0
SHE
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
SHE
1 - 2
BBU
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
LEI
1 - 1
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
0 - 1
OXF
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
2 - 0
WIG
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
0 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
STO
2 - 2
WAT
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |