Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
SHE
2 - 1
BHA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
STO
0 - 0
SHE
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SHE
4 - 2
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SHE
1 - 0
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
GRI
1 - 4
SHE
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NTT
3 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
DER
1 - 2
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PNE
4 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
DER
0 - 1
CRY
41%
25%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
DER
1 - 1
LEI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |