Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
WBA
0 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
SUN
2 - 2
SHE
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
BBU
3 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
DER
3 - 2
LEI
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
LIV
6 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
DER
4 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
MID
0 - 3
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
DER
2 - 3
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |