Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 1
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
BBU
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 0
PNE
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
MID
2 - 2
SHE
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
DER
3 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
DER
1 - 1
PNE
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |