Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
WBA
0 - 2
SHE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
DER
5 - 1
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 0
SHE
57%
22%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
SHE
3 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
SHE
2 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
DER
5 - 1
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
WBA
3 - 0
DER
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |