Shavnabada vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shavnabada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TSK
6 - 0
SHA
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 2
WIT
12%
19%
69%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 1
SHA
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KOJ
3 - 2
SHA
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
SOK
4 - 1
SHA
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SOK
0 - 2
GAR
9%
15%
76%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
APK
1 - 2
GAR
13%
16%
71%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 1
RUS
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
GAR
33%
22%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 0
AMI
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |