Ganzhou Ruishi vs Xi'an Ronghai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
2º
1º
13
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ganzhou Ruishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WCH
1 - 2
SSP
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 1
GUA
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 0
SSP
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GGZ
2 - 1
SSP
33%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 3
HBF
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Xi'an Ronghai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 1
HSF
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
1 - 0
TTF
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 1
XIR
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
XIR
78%
14%
9%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 0
RZY
13%
17%
71%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |