Shanghái Port vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
1º
37
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
14% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
HAN
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
4%
11%
85%
|
82 | 30 | 52 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 2
SHA
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SDO
0 - 4
BEI
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 1
BEI
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |