Shanghai Shenxin vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenxin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
QIN
0 - 0
SHA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 2
SHA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 3
SHA
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
HAN
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEI
2 - 2
SHA
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HBF
3 - 1
BIT
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
HBF
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HBF
1 - 0
GUA
19%
21%
61%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
YAN
1 - 0
HBF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 0
HBF
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |