Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
2º
36
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
18% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
82% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
POH
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 4
SHA
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
SHA
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 1
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
HEN
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
TIT
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
WFC
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 2
HAN
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEI
3 - 2
TIT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |