FA Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
Shanghai Shenhua vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHE
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 3
SHA
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 3
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
23%
25%
51%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 4
SHI
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
HEB
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 3
SHA
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
HEN
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |