Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao West Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
2º
13
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 72 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 26 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
46.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 2
SHA
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ZEN
6 - 0
SHA
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
SHA
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
ADS
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
HEN
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 0
YAN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
QYI
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKF
1 - 1
QYI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
QYI
2 - 0
SDO
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |