Shanghai Shenhua vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
3º
2º
18
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
14% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
81% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 1
SHA
15%
25%
60%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
MEI
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 1
SHA
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
CBC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SHU
2 - 2
CHA
4%
10%
86%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |