Shanghai Shenhua vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHA
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
BEI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HAN
0 - 0
SHA
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
HEN
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TIT
1 - 3
SHA
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
6 - 0
GLO
88%
9%
2%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
WES
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WPH
0 - 1
BRI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
MEL
3 - 2
BRI
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |