Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
7º
5º
27
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
CCM
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
QYI
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
HEN
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
CBC
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SHI
3 - 1
SHA
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 1
WFC
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
WFC
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
WFC
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WFC
4 - 1
SJF
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |