Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
5º
29
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
SHA
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 0
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 2
QYI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 6
SHA
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SJF
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 3
QIN
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
3 - 1
SJF
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |