Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
5º
15
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 74 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 56 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 39 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
26% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 6
SHA
10%
17%
74%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 0
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
QIN
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
QIN
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QIN
3 - 1
TIT
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |