FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Shandong Taishan vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
WUZ
0 - 1
SHA
19%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
WUZ
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 0
QYI
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 1
SHI
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SJF
0 - 0
HEN
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
SJF
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 0
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MEQ
1 - 5
HEN
4%
11%
85%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |